Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 5% YES on Polymarket with $68K in total trading volume.

95c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).

Currently at 5%

Traded on Polymarket — $68K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($68K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 5c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $68K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.