As of September 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche” at 70% YES with $234K traded. No tracked smart-money wallet holds a position on this market yet.
Prediction markets put the probability at 70%: US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche. Currently, markets see this as likely (70% YES).
The us open atp: denis shapovalov vs luca van assche contract tracks a 2026 US Open Men's Singles Round of 64 meeting between Canada's Denis Shapovalov and France's Luca Van Assche, staged at Flushing Meadows on September 2, 2026. On Robinhood's tennis book, Shapovalov's contract traded at 57¢ against Van Assche's 43¢ as live play began, with reported open interest of 2,547 contracts on the Canadian and 2,197 on the Frenchman. The current reading of 70% YES / 30% NO reflects Shapovalov as the favored side of the match, consistent with his higher ranking and Grand Slam pedigree relative to the younger Van Assche. [Robinhood, Sep 01]
Form entering the tie was mixed for both players. Van Assche's recent hardcourt results included a loss to England's Cameron Norrie, while Shapovalov's Cincinnati and Montreal summer swing produced wins over Adrian Mannarino (6-1, 6-4) and a three-set result against Spain's Rafael Jodar, alongside a defeat to American Zachary Svajda. Head-to-head data listed each player with one career win over the other, underscoring how narrowly the us open atp: denis shapovalov vs luca van assche matchup was seeded despite the pricing gap. Shapovalov, a former US Open quarterfinalist, brought bigger serve-and-forehand weapons, whereas Van Assche's baseline consistency has anchored his rise on the ATP tour. [Oddsscanner, Aug 31]
Resolution terms for the us open atp: denis shapovalov vs luca van assche market specify that if the match does not commence — signaled by a ball being played — because of injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any pre-match cancellation, the contract settles to a fair price under the exchange's rules, while a postponement or delay holds the market open. Set-specific side markets, including a listed Set 3 winner contract, traded in parallel and depend on the match reaching that stage. The outcome carries second-round seeding implications at the season's final major, with the winner advancing deeper into the US Open draw and additional ranking points and prize money at stake. [Robinhood, Sep 02]
OddsShift follows 166 on-chain Polymarket wallets, tiered daily by their record on resolved markets. When one of them takes a position here, this page gets the wallet table, model fair value and a verdict.
See markets with smart-money data →