Weekly scoreboards
Each Monday we grade every tracked Polymarket market that resolved in the previous week: the side the tracked wallets held before the close, and the AI verdict frozen before resolution, against the actual outcome. Misses are listed with the hits.
32 / 58
Smart money: calls matched the outcome (55%)
−$327
$100 on each smart-money call, held to resolution (58 calls, -5.6% per call)
10 / 12
AI verdict: calls matched the outcome (83%)
+$394
$100 on each AI-verdict call, held to resolution (12 calls, +32.9% per call)
356
markets resolved in total
| Week | Resolved | Smart money | AI verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-W36 · 2026-08-31 – 2026-09-06 | 11 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
| 2026-W35 · 2026-08-24 – 2026-08-30 | 27 | 0 / 0 | 0 / 0 |
Latest graded markets
Method. A verdict counts only if it was frozen before the market resolved. The smart-money side is the dominant side of the tracked wallets in the last snapshot before the close. INVALID resolutions and markets without a pre-resolution record are excluded and counted on each weekly page. Nothing is back-filled from later data.