Resolved markets
1228 tracked Polymarket markets have resolved. Where the Radar had an AI verdict frozen before the close, the row shows how it graded (463 verdicts so far, 295 of them BUY). Hit rates and the $1,000-per-call record are on the scoreboards; the other markets are listed by name, they were never a call.
September 2026
28 verdicts graded · scoreboard for September 2026 →
50 more resolved in September 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Wta jacquem tikhono (YES), Mlb tex sea (NO), Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season? (NO), Atp khachan blockx (YES), Atp aboian pellegr (YES), Mlb tex sea (NO), Atp tiafoe michels (YES), Wta tikhono semenis (YES), Will Dplus win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? (NO), Mlb sf nym (YES), Will JD Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? (NO), Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Wta annli noskova (NO), Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? (NO), US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Quentin Halys (YES), US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina (NO), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Texas Rangers (NO), US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Jesper de Jong (YES), Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles (YES), US Open ATP: Gael Monfils vs Learner Tien (NO), US Open WTA: Paula Badosa vs Coco Gauff (NO), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs (NO), US Open ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Arthur Gea (NO), US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse (YES), US Open WTA: Cristina Bucsa vs Himeno Sakatsume (YES), Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? (YES), US Open ATP: James Duckworth vs Yibing Wu (NO), US Open WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Anna Kalinskaya (NO), US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel (YES), US Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Magdalena Frech (YES), US Open ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Luca Van Assche (YES), US Open ATP: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner (YES), US Open ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Francesco Passaro (YES), US Open ATP: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jacob Fearnley (YES), Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies (NO), US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse (NO), US Open WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Jelena Ostapenko (YES), Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), US Open WTA: Zeynep Sonmez vs Coco Gauff (NO), AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? (YES), Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary electio (NO), US Open WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Reese Brantmeier (YES), Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026? (NO), Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August 2026? (NO), Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31 (NO), US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? (NO), Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? (NO), Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? (NO), Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? (NO)
August 2026
34 verdicts graded · scoreboard for August 2026 →
161 more resolved in August 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
US Open ATP: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Karen Khachanov (NO), US Open ATP: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken (YES), US Open ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Stan Wawrinka (YES), US Open WTA: Sloane Stephens vs Clara Tauson (YES), US Open ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo (NO), US Open ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer (YES), Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Augus (YES), Will Max Miller drop out of the OH-07 race by August 30? (NO), US Open WTA: Taylah Preston vs Alycia Parks (YES), Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels (YES), US Open ATP: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby (YES), Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics (YES), US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov (NO), US Open ATP: Jaume Munar vs Terence Atmane (YES), Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians (YES), Colorado Rockies vs. Atlanta Braves (NO), Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), Houston Astros vs. New York Mets (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays (NO), Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Ann Li (NO), Will Solana reach $110 in August? (YES), Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary (NO), Will Charles McCall win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary (NO), Monterrey Open: Shuai Zhang vs Maria Timofeeva (NO), Monterrey Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Anna Bondar (YES), Monterrey Open: Alycia Parks vs Petra Marcinko (YES), Winston-Salem Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Stefanos Tsitsipas (NO), US Open, Qualification WTA: Caroline Dolehide vs Veronika Podrez (NO), US Open, Qualification ATP: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzsch (NO), Winston-Salem Open: Jan Choinski vs Mees Rottgering (NO), Philadelphia: Simona Waltert vs Fiona Crawley (NO), US Open, Qualification ATP: Harry Wendelken vs Stefano Travaglia (YES), Philadelphia: Talia Gibson vs Lizette Cabrera (NO), Monterrey Open: Camila Osorio vs Ann Li (NO), Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula (YES), Winston-Salem Open: Martin Landaluce vs Mattia Bellucci (NO), Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners (YES), Monterrey Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Darja Vidmanova (NO), Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (NO), US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026? (NO), Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoe (NO), St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies (NO), Monterrey Open, Qualification: En-Shuo Liang vs Sinja Kraus (YES), Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek (YES), Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins (NO), Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22? (YES), Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 21, 2026? (NO), Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis (NO), Kingston: Valentin Royer vs Clement Chidekh (YES), Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers (NO), Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August? (YES), Cancun: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Moez Echargui (NO), Will Solana reach $90 in August? (YES), Washington Nationals vs. Texas Rangers (NO), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), Cancun: Otto Virtanen vs Moez Echargui (NO), Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tommy Paul (NO), Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? (YES), Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? (YES), Will Megan Degenfelder win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primar (NO), Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton (YES), Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Ekaterina Alexandrova (YES), Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? (YES), Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? (YES), Cincinnati Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilo (YES), Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska (YES), Cincinnati Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Anna Kalinskaya (YES), Cincinnati Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Xiyu Wang (NO), Cincinnati Open: Anna Blinkova vs Ekaterina Alexandrova (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians (YES), Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (YES), Texas Rangers vs. Athletics (NO), Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (NO), Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (YES), Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs (YES), Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? (YES), US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? (NO), US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? (NO), Israel closes its airspace by August 15? (NO), Iran full airspace closure by August 15? (NO), US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? (NO), Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets (NO), Cincinnati Open: Quentin Halys vs Alex de Minaur (NO), Will GPT-6 be released by August 14, 2026? (NO), Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti (NO), Cincinnati Open: Mary Stoiana vs Tereza Valentova (NO), Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng (NO), Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? (NO), Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by (YES), Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamen (NO), Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by- (NO), Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamenta (NO), Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? (NO), US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026? (NO), Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Harry Wendelken (NO), Cincinnati Open: Cristina Bucsa vs Panna Udvardy (YES), Cincinnati Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jan Choinski (YES), Will Kai and Speed have between 30 and 49 total in-game deaths during (YES), Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary el (YES), Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? (YES), Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary e (NO), Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16? (YES), Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? (YES), Brownsburg: Ugo Blanchet vs Rei Sakamoto (NO), Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (YES), Brownsburg: Stefan Kozlov vs Aidan Mayo (YES), Houston Astros vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary (NO), US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? (YES), National Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Ben Shelton (NO), Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Leolia Jeanjean (NO), Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lucrezia Stefan (NO), Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Mary Stoiana vs Veronika Erjavec (YES), Cincinnati Open, Qualification: Luca Van Assche vs Gustavo Heide (YES), Athletics vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? (NO), Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? (YES), Will Vinicius Junior join Arsenal? (NO), Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026 (NO), National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur (YES), No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting (YES), Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 b (YES), National Bank Open: Elise Mertens vs Anna Bondar (YES), National Bank Open: Alex Michelsen vs Francisco Cerundolo (YES), National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Naomi Osaka (NO), National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor (NO), Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026 (NO), Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? (NO), Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? (NO), National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublev (YES), Lexington: Jay Dylan Friend vs Colton Smith (YES), Plovdiv 2: Jack Loge vs Franco Agamenone (NO), Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? (NO), Canadian Open: Alexis Galarneau vs Vit Kopriva (NO), National Bank Open: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Alycia Parks (NO), National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connell (YES), National Bank Open: Carol Zhao vs Magda Linette (NO), National Bank Open: Janice Tjen vs Liudmila Samsonova (NO), San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres (NO), National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlek (NO), Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets (YES), Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), Canadian Open, Qualification: Dalibor Svrcina vs Titouan Droguet (NO), Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), 2k+ container ship transits of Suez Canal in H1 2026? (NO), Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? (NO), Trump out as President before GTA VI? (INVALID), Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? (INVALID), New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? (INVALID), Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? (NO), Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? (NO), New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? (INVALID), Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? (INVALID), Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? (NO), SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026? (NO), Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? (NO), Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026? (NO), Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? (NO)
July 2026
89 verdicts graded · scoreboard for July 2026 →
183 more resolved in July 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July (YES), US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? (YES), Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by August 31, 2026? (YES), Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? (YES), Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? (NO), Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? (NO), Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Phillies (YES), Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins (YES), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Israel closes its airspace by July 24? (NO), Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31? (YES), Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizu (YES), Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? (YES), Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? (YES), Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (YES), St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Angels (YES), Cincinnati Reds vs. Seattle Mariners (YES), Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Bloomfield Hills: Mark Lajal vs Darwin Blanch (YES), Bloomfield Hills: Dhakshineswar Suresh vs Billy Harris (YES), Palermo: Miriam Bulgaru vs Caijsa Hennemann (YES), Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? (NO), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jays (YES), Bloomfield Hills: Alexis Galarneau vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz (INVALID), Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Palermo: Alessandra Mazzola vs Dalila Spiteri (NO), Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK (NO), Claudio Tapia out as AFA President by July 19, 2026? (NO), Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? (YES), Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? (YES), Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Ilya Ivashka (YES), Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels (NO), Washington Nationals vs. Athletics (YES), San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? (YES), Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? (NO), Will Kylian Mbappe score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Kylian Mbappe score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox (NO), Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astros (YES), Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers (NO), Texas Rangers vs. Atlanta Braves (YES), St. Louis Cardinals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Kansas City Royals (NO), Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher w (NO), Pozoblanco: Akira Santillan vs Izan Almazan Valiente (YES), New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies (YES), Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7? (NO), Pozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan Valiente (NO), Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Hayato Matsuoka (YES), Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? (NO), Israel closes its airspace by July 15? (NO), Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? (YES), Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding? (NO), Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July? (YES), Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Mert Alkaya (YES), Pozoblanco: Paul Inchauspe vs Hamish Stewart (YES), Will Patrick Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? (YES), Will Lana Del Rey attend Taylor Swift's wedding? (NO), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (YES), Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres (NO), Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (NO), Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? (YES), Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? (YES), Will Norway win the World Cup? (NO), Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FI (NO), Will Norway be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup? (NO), Will Norway be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? (NO), Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigers (YES), Will Norway vs. England end in a draw? (YES), Will England win on 2026-07-11? (NO), Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? (NO), Boston Red Sox vs. New York Mets (YES), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), New York Yankees vs. Washington Nationals (YES), Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins (YES), Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Jacob Fearnley (NO), Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants (NO), Will Adam Miller win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? (NO), US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins (NO), Philadelphia Phillies vs. Cincinnati Reds (YES), Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers (NO), Bogota: Hernan Casanova vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (YES), OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? (NO), Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? (YES), Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Chicago Cubs vs. Baltimore Orioles (YES), Athletics vs. Detroit Tigers (NO), New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (YES), Newport: Alexis Galarneau vs Juan Pablo Ficovich (YES), Will T1 win MSI 2026? (NO), Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? (NO), Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait o (NO), Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 (NO), Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 (NO), Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026 (YES), Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06? (YES), Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw? (NO), Will United States win on 2026-07-06? (NO), Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m an (NO), Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? (NO), Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5? (NO), US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? (NO), Miami Marlins vs. Athletics (YES), Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies (NO), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (YES), Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (YES), Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Coco Gauff (NO), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros (NO), Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers (YES), Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04? (YES), Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? (NO), Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30? (NO), Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? (NO), Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? (YES), Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? (YES), Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03? (NO), Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? (NO), Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? (YES), Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? (NO), Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? (NO), Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? (NO), Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? (NO), Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 June 29-July 5? (YES), Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? (NO), Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? (NO), Will United States win on 2026-07-01? (YES), Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? (YES), Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? (NO), Israel closes its airspace by June 30? (NO), Will Fomo launch a token by June 30 2026? (NO), Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026? (NO), MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? (NO), Will Meta acquire TikTok? (NO), Will Amazon acquire TikTok? (NO), Will Walmart acquire TikTok? (NO), Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026? (NO), Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30? (NO), Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? (NO), Will Trump and Putin not meet? (YES), Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026? (YES), Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day (NO), Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? (NO), No one announced as next James Bond? (YES), Will Databricks’ market cap be $250B or greater at market close on IPO (NO), Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? (NO), Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? (NO), US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? (NO), Another Canada election called by June 30? (NO), Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? (NO), Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? (NO), Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? (NO), Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? (NO), Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? (NO), Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? (NO), Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will Trump pardon Tiger Woods by June 30? (NO), Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas by June 30 2026? (NO), Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? (NO), Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? (NO), Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? (NO), Will Trump be impeached by June 30? (NO), Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? (NO), French election called by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? (NO), Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? (NO)
June 2026
110 verdicts graded · scoreboard for June 2026 →
177 more resolved in June 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 (NO), Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun (NO), Quito: Tomas Martinez vs Eduardo Ribeiro (NO), Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? (NO), Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (NO), Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? (NO), Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026? (NO), Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? (NO), Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? (YES), Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27? (NO), Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? (NO), Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? (NO), Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? (NO), Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? (YES), Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw? (NO), Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jays (YES), Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? (NO), Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? (NO), Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? (NO), Will Iraq advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? (NO), Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? (YES), Will United States win on 2026-06-25? (NO), Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? (YES), Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? (NO), Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? (YES), Piracicaba: Luis Felipe Miguel vs Thiago Seyboth Wild (NO), Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? (NO), Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? (NO), Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? (YES), Will Brazil advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox (YES), Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Angels (NO), Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? (NO), Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary e (NO), Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary electio (YES), Will Alex Bores be the democratic nominee for NY-12? (NO), Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican prima (YES), Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays (YES), Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? (YES), Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? (NO), Piracicaba: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Nicolas Villalon (YES), Piracicaba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (YES), Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? (YES), Starmer out by June 30, 2026? (YES), Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? (NO), Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 (YES), Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? (YES), Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (YES), Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics (YES), Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? (NO), Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? (YES), Will Steve Witkoff attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? (YES), Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar? (NO), US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? (YES), Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Texas Rangers (YES), San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins (NO), Washington Nationals vs. Tampa Bay Rays (YES), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves (NO), Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? (YES), Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20? (NO), Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? (NO), Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? (NO), Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers (NO), Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? (NO), Asuncion 2: Guido Justo vs Nick Hardt (NO), Will United States win on 2026-06-19? (YES), Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? (NO), Will G2 reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026? (NO), Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? (NO), Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? (NO), Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? (NO), Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal? (YES), Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? (YES), Will Iran close its airspace by July 15? (YES), Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee (NO), Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary elect (NO), Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican prima (NO), Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia? (NO), Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? (YES), Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (NO), Asuncion 2: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Juan Bautista Torres (YES), Asuncion 2: Samuel Heredia vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi (NO), Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? (NO), Israel closes its airspace by June 15? (NO), Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? (NO), Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies (NO), Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Nottingham Open: Harriet Dart vs Katie Boulter (INVALID), Asuncion 2: Bruno Fernandez vs Nick Hardt (NO), Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? (YES), Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? (NO), US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026? (YES), Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels (YES), Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra (YES), Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? (NO), Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? (NO), US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? (YES), Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? (YES), Will T1 qualify to MSI 2026? (YES), Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? (NO), Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? (NO), Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? (YES), Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (YES), Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? (NO), Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets (YES), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds (NO), President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? (NO), Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? (YES), Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? (NO), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds (YES), New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays (NO), Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers (NO), Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (YES), Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)? (YES), SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? (YES), Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? (YES), Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (YES), Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Iran closes its airspace by June 15? (YES), Iran closes its airspace by June 30? (YES), Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals (YES), Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? (NO), Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez (YES), Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini (YES), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres (NO), US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9? (NO), Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? (NO), St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets (YES), Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto (YES), Israel closes its airspace by June 8? (NO), Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-0 be the exact series outcome? (NO), Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi (NO), Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi (YES), Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? (YES), Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles (YES), US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? (NO), Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian (YES), Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid (NO), Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? (YES), Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (YES), New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres (YES), Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? (YES), Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves (NO), Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (YES), Tyler: Liam Draxl vs Sebastian Gorzny (YES), Tyler: Blaise Bicknell vs Karl Poling (NO), Makarska: Akasha Urhobo vs Darja Semenistaja (NO), Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s French Open? (NO), Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian president (NO), Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election (NO), Will Kim Tae-heum win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial e (NO), Will Park Soo-hyun win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial (YES), Will Kim Dong-yeon win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi (NO), Will Yoo Seong-min win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Electi (NO), Will Cale Makar win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy? (NO), Named storm forms before hurricane season? (NO), GTA VI released before June 2026? (NO), Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? (NO)
May 2026
169 verdicts graded · scoreboard for May 2026 →
105 more resolved in May 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates (NO), Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astros (NO), Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians (YES), Kansas City Royals vs. Texas Rangers (NO), Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets (NO), San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), Canada recession before 2027? (YES), Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padres (YES), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), Will Mitch Johnson win the 2025–2026 NBA Coach of the Year? (NO), Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (NO), Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics (YES), Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be b (NO), New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals (YES), Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), Los Angeles Angels vs. Detroit Tigers (YES), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? (YES), Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? (YES), Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? (YES), Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? (NO), Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians (YES), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants (YES), Roland Garros ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Gael Monfils (YES), New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals (YES), Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? (NO), Roland Garros ATP: Lorenzo Sonego vs Pierre-Hugues Herbert (YES), Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Prem (YES), Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24? (NO), Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves (YES), Minnesota Twins vs. Boston Red Sox (YES), Will no male player win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026? (YES), New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals (YES), Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026? (YES), Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers (YES), Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins (YES), New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals (NO), Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026? (YES), Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (YES), Chicago White Sox vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies (YES), Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premie (YES), Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins (YES), Iran closes its airspace by May 18? (NO), Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies (NO), Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? (NO), Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (YES), Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (NO), Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies (YES), Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May? (YES), Cerebras IPO before 2027? (YES), Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics (YES), Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their (YES), Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026? (YES), Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? (NO), Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), Cordoba: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Hernan Casanova (YES), Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs? (YES), Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (NO), Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians (NO), New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles (NO), Cordoba: Juan Ignacio Gallego vs Ryan Dickerson (NO), Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? (NO), Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? (NO), Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? (YES), Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026? (NO), Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Prem (NO), Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? (NO), Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? (YES), Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI? (YES), Santos: Luis Guto Miguel vs Juan Manuel La Serna (YES), Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks (YES), Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026? (NO), Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League? (NO), Atlanta Braves vs. Seattle Mariners (NO), Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary ele (YES), (NO), (YES), Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the (NO), (YES), Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? (NO), Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (YES), Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (NO), Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league? (NO), (YES), (YES), (YES), Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference? (NO), Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals? (NO), Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April? (NO), Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? (NO), Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), Will the Atlanta Hawks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? (NO), Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? (NO)
April 2026
33 verdicts graded · scoreboard for April 2026 →
83 more resolved in April 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Gensyn FDV above $800M one day after launch? (NO), Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? (NO), Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting? (YES), Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the Eastern Conference? (NO), (YES), James Comey arrested by May 15? (YES), James Comey arrested by April 29? (YES), (YES), (YES), Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? (YES), Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? (NO), Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? (YES), Will Deni Avdija win the 2025–2026 NBA Most Improved Player? (NO), USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? (YES), US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026? (NO), Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? (NO), Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA Clutch Player of th (YES), Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi (NO), Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? (NO), Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Y (YES), Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? (YES), Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? (YES), Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? (NO), Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs? (NO), Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? (NO), Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra (NO), Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs? (NO), Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? (NO), Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? (YES), Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026? (YES), Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division? (YES), Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra (NO), Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? (NO), Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? (NO), Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Pacific Division? (NO), Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs? (NO), Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League? (NO), Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifin (YES), Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30? (YES), Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division? (NO), Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division? (NO), Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the Eastern Conference? (NO), Will Dyson Daniels lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA seaso (NO), Will the Toronto Raptors make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will the New York Knicks win more than 53.5 regular season games in 20 (NO), Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament? (YES), Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentar (NO), Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in t (YES), Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will Jon Rahm win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? (YES), Will the New York Knicks win the 2025–2026 NBA Atlantic Division? (NO), Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? (YES), Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? (NO), Will the Washington Wizards have the worst record in the NBA? (YES), Will the Indiana Pacers have the worst record in the NBA? (NO), Will the Atlanta Hawks make the NBA Playoffs? (YES), Will Bryson Dechambeau win the 2026 Masters tournament? (NO), Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win more than 49.5 regular season game (NO), Will the Miami Heat win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division? (NO), Will the Washington Wizards win more than 20.5 regular season games in (NO), Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (NO), Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (YES), Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (NO), Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (NO), Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwi (NO), Will pam bondi leave the trump administration before 2027 (YES), EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch? (NO), Israel strike on Damascus by March 31, 2026? (NO), Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? (NO), Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.5% by March 31? (NO), Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? (NO), Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO)
March 2026
6 resolved in March 2026 without a verdict (not graded)
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (NO), Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? (YES), Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding on March 31? (YES), Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (NO), Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? (NO)