How did 'Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?' resolve?

The market resolved YES on May 24, 2026. YES redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned NO but the market resolved YES. The verdict did not match the outcome.

Other

Resolved: May 24, 2026 Closed at $1.00 YES Final volume: $5.4M

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?

Resolved · MAY 24

YES

100c

Market resolved YES at $1.00. AI consensus leaned NO (4 of 5 models agreed) but the outcome went the other way.

MODERATE RESULT

YES WON 100c

AI verdict was HOLD — no directional call. Market resolved YES at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

4 of 5 Models Agreed: YES — Outcome Matched

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	YES	98c	96%
Compound Signal	NO	49c	2%
DeepSeek Quant	YES	85c	75%
Gemini Flash	YES	70c	70%
Kimi Macro	YES	74c	70%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 75c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 100c YES / 0c NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xdd22..f1	MM	YES	$1.6K	-23%
This Market Entered at 67c → now 50c (-23%), $1.6K on YES Activity · 3 events · May 18 → May 20 DatePositionAmountTotal May 18BUYYES69+$7,078$7,078 May 19BUYYES54+$988$6,527 May 20SELLYES53−$4,867$1,539 Realized−$1,261 Unrealized−$355 Total Profit−$1,616 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1238) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked YES Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$789 on $1.6K capital deployed (avg +49.9%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	55c	$5.4M	100c
AI Consensus	75c	—	✓ matched

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