How did 'Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on May 18, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

AI consensus leaned NO with MODERATE conviction (4 of 5 models agreed). Outcome matched the consensus direction.

Other

Resolved: May 18, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $4.5M

Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?

Resolved · MAY 18

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. AI consensus leaned NO — 4 of 5 models agreed with MODERATE conviction. Outcome confirmed the consensus direction.

MODERATE RESULT

NO WON 100c

AI consensus leaned NO with MODERATE conviction — 4 of 5 models agreed. Outcome confirmed: NO won at $1.00.

Stop Loss Target Final

4 of 5 Models Agreed: NO

Model	Said	Fair Value estimated fair price of YES	Confidence
PIN Model	NO	27c	46%
Compound Signal	NO	50c	0%
DeepSeek Quant	NO	27c	72%
Gemini Flash	???	50c	50%
Kimi Macro	NO	45c	60%

Aggregate fair-value estimate: 40c YES. Outcome confirmed: market resolved at 0c YES / $1.00 NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 46c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x507e..ae	Retail	NO	$1.8K	-3%
This Market Entered at 46c → now 50c (-3%), $1.8K on NO Activity · 1 event · May 13 DatePositionAmountTotal May 13BUYNO46+$1,840$1,840 Realized— Unrealized−$60 Total Profit−$60 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 312 trades).

See all 87 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

100% of Tracked NO Positions Closed in Profit

Tracked alpha wallets held NO at the last snapshot. NO redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$2,090 on $1.8K capital deployed (avg +117.4%).

Profit/Loss by Side (final)

NO positions

100% in profit

YES positions

0% no exposure

Price History — Polymarket

Platform	Last YES Price	Volume	Final
Polymarket	56c	$4.5M	0c
AI Consensus	40c	—	✓ matched

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