Economics
Resolves: Aug 2026 3 days left Volume: $91K

Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

NO
61c
YES
39c

Prediction markets put the probability at 39%: Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026. Currently, markets are divided (39% YES, 61% NO).

Currently at 39%

Traded on Polymarket — $91K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($91K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 39c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/6 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 61c

6/6 models agree on NO, fair value 20c vs market 39c. BUY NO at 39c — models see 19c of upside.

+54% TARGET YIELD
37c
94c
100c
61c
80c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

6 of 6 Models Agree: NO

ModelSaysFair Value estimated fair priceConfidence
MATH PIN ModelNO98c
MATH Compound SignalNO58c
AI DeepSeek QuantNO78c
68%
AI Grok ContrarianNO96c
88%
AI Gemini FlashNO85c
85%
AI Kimi MacroNO62c
60%

6 of 6 models estimate NO fair value above market (58–98c vs 61c). Grok Contrarian leads with 88% confidence.

Models estimate fair value of NO at 80c — market prices it at 61c. 19-point gap supports NO.

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 56c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x44c1..c1MMNO$2.7K+10%
See all 87 alpha wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 56c. At current price 39c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 39c YES — $91K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 39c with $91K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 20c. Significant 19-point gap — model sees NO as substantially mispriced.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket39c$91K
Our Model20c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 39% YES with $91K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.

What do AI models predict for Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 20c YES. 6 models agree on direction.