As of September 27, 2026, Polymarket prices “GTA VI released by November 30?” at 94% YES with $53K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is YES.
Prediction markets give a 94% probability to: gta vi released by november 30?.
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
Unlock PRO — $29/moMajority of models lean YES, but not unanimous. Weak edge — consider waiting for stronger signal.
| Model | Says | Fair Value estimated fair price | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| MATH PIN Model | YES | 97c | — |
| AI Claude Analysis | YES | 87c | 66% |
| AI DeepSeek Quant | YES | 94c | 55% |
| AI Grok Contrarian | NO | 38c | 28% |
| AI Gemini Flash | NO | 75c | 75% |
| AI Kimi Macro | YES | 96c | 85% |
4 of 6 models estimate YES fair value below market (87–97c vs 94c). Kimi Macro leads with 85% confidence.
Models estimate fair value at 94c — aligned with market. No edge detected.
The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively on YES at 93c, showing no hedging or NO exposure. This one-sided conviction at a high price point suggests smart money views the November 30 deadline as highly probable, with entry near the current price indicating continued upside rather than a fading catalyst.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xcaab..dd | Retail | YES | $2.8K | +0% |
With YES trading at 94c, every tracked YES position entered at 93c is in profit, while no NO positions exist to be underwater. The tight 1c spread between entry and current price signals strong, stable support for the YES side with minimal downside pressure. This near-unanimous profitability reinforces the market's confidence that GTA VI will release by November 30.
Polymarket prices YES at 94c with $53K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 94c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
| Platform | YES Price | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 94c | $53K |
| Our Model | 94c | — |