Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 36% YES on Polymarket with $72K in total trading volume.

64c

YES

36c

Prediction markets put the probability at 27%: Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (27% YES).

Up from 27% to 36% since 2026-05-28 (+9pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $72K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($72K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 36c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 36% YES with $72K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.