Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 32% YES on Polymarket with $64K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

68c

YES

32c

Prediction markets give a 32% probability to: iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz in april?.

Currently at 32%

Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 32c YES.

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Last updated: April 17, 2026, 13:40 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 33c

Smart money entered YES at 32c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Geopolitics Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a geopolitics specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xb8e6..67	Smart	YES	$2.1K	+2%
This Market Entered at 32c → now 32c (+2%), $2.1K on YES Track Record 10mo on platform · 1600 trades · 100% win rate · other specialist AI Insight High-conviction trader with 100% win rate across 1600 resolved bets. Agrees with consensus.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 32c. At current price 32c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 32c YES — $64K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 32c with $64K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 32c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	32c	$64K
Our Model	32c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 32% YES with $64K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.