Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Iran coup attempt by June 30?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 12% YES on Polymarket with $386K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Iran coup attempt by June 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

88c

YES

12c

Prediction markets give a 12% probability to: iran coup attempt by june 30?.

Currently at 12%

Traded on Polymarket — $386K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $386K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

Smart money signal: 3 tracked wallets positioned NO with 0.6x conviction. Backed by $386K in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 89c

Smart money entered NO at 67c–75c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

3 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 67c–75c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x12d6..a8	MM	NO	$1.9K	+31%
This Market Entered at 67c → now 88c (+31%), $1.9K on NO Track Record 1mo on platform · 1330 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1330) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$1.4K	-69%
This Market Entered at 37c → now 12c (-69%), $1.4K on YES Track Record 24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x6828..56	Retail	NO	$1.0K	+18%
This Market Entered at 75c → now 88c (+18%), $1.0K on NO Track Record 2mo on platform · 1324 trades · 100% win rate · other specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1324 trades).

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 37c, NO wallets at 67c–75c. At current price 12c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 12c YES — $386K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 12c with $386K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 12c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	12c	$386K
Our Model	12c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran coup attempt by June 30??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 12% YES with $386K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran coup attempt by June 30??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Iran coup attempt by June 30??

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.