Geopolitics
Resolves: Nov 2026 30 days left Volume: $70K

Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?

NO
92c
YES
8c

As of October 1, 2026, Polymarket prices “Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?” at 8% YES with $70K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 8% probability to: iran full airspace closure by october 31, 2026?.

Currently at 8%

Traded on Polymarket — $70K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
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MODERATE AI VERDICT
BUY NO 92c

Smart money entered NO at 90c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

+3% TARGET YIELD
55c
95c
100c
92c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 90c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x162f..8dMMNO$5.3K+2%
See all 88 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 90c. At current price 8c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 8c YES — $70K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 8c with $70K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 8c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket8c$70K
Our Model8c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $70K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.