As of September 23, 2026, Polymarket prices “Iran leadership change by November 30?” at 7% YES with $52K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here, 1 of them tier-1; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 7% probability to: iran leadership change by november 30?.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
NO wallets entered at 90c. At current price 7c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 7c YES — $52K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 7c with $52K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 7c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for Iran leadership change by November 30?
As of September 2026, Polymarket prices this at 7% YES with $52K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Iran leadership change by November 30?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Iran leadership change by November 30?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
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