Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 23% YES on Polymarket with $69K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

77c

YES

23c

Prediction markets give a 23% probability to: israel announces suspension of lebanon offensive by april 17, 2026?.

Currently at 23%

Traded on Polymarket — $69K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($69K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 23c YES.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 23c

Smart money entered YES at 15c. 100% of YES wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 15c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xbacd..35	MM	YES	$9.4K	+49%
This Market Entered at 15c → now 23c (+49%), $9.4K on YES Track Record 13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 15c. At current price 23c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 23c YES — $69K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 23c with $69K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 23c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	23c	$69K
Our Model	23c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 23% YES with $69K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.