Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel closes its airspace by June 30?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 61% YES on Polymarket with $1.3M in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Israel closes its airspace by June 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 5 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

61c

39c

Prediction markets give a 61% probability to: israel closes its airspace by june 30?.

Currently at 61%

Traded on Polymarket — $1.3M Volume

Active market on Polymarket with $1.3M in total volume. Sufficient liquidity for most position sizes. Currently priced at 61c YES.

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Smart money signal: 5 tracked wallets positioned YES. Backed by $1.3M in trading volume.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 61c

Smart money entered YES at 65c–76c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

4 Market Makers Providing Liquidity

We tracked 5 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 4 market makers are providing $11K in liquidity, primarily on YES. YES wallets entered between 65c–76c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xd5cc..a4	MM	YES	$5.5K	-19%
This Market Entered at 75c → now 61c (-19%), $5.5K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 07BUYYES75+$6,821$6,821 Realized— Unrealized−$1,274 Total Profit−$1,274 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1380) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xbacd..35	MM	NO	$2.7K	-40%
This Market Entered at 65c → now 39c (-40%), $2.7K on NO Activity · 4 events · May 21 → Jun 08 DatePositionAmountTotal May 21BUYNO53+$4$4 May 23BUYNO65+$506$511 Jun 07BUYNO65+$4,015$4,523 Jun 08BUYNO38+$6$2,665 Realized— Unrealized−$1,795 Total Profit−$1,795 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1854) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xfcf2..69	Retail	YES	$2.4K	-6%
This Market Entered at 65c → now 61c (-6%), $2.4K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 08 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 08BUYYES65+$2,600$2,600 Realized— Unrealized−$155 Total Profit−$155 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1974 trades).
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$1.4K	-20%
This Market Entered at 76c → now 61c (-20%), $1.4K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 07BUYYES76+$1,717$1,717 Realized— Unrealized−$335 Total Profit−$335 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1100) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x12d6..a8	MM	YES	$1.3K	-18%
This Market Entered at 75c → now 61c (-18%), $1.3K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 07 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 07BUYYES75+$1,554$1,554 Realized— Unrealized−$288 Total Profit−$288 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1272) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 65c–76c, NO wallets at 65c. At current price 61c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 61c YES — $1.3M Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 61c with $1.3M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 61c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	61c	$1.3M
Our Model	61c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 61% YES with $1.3M in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

OddsShift tracks 5 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.