Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel closes its airspace by June 8?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 26% YES on Polymarket with $510K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Israel closes its airspace by June 8?'?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

74c

YES

26c

Prediction markets give a 26% probability to: israel closes its airspace by june 8?.

Currently at 26%

Traded on Polymarket — $510K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 26c YES with $510K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 2 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 74c

Smart money entered NO at 43c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

2 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 43c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x7c3d..6b	MM	NO	$1.9K	+72%
This Market Entered at 43c → now 74c (+72%), $1.9K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 08 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 08BUYNO43+$1,117$1,117 Realized— Unrealized+$801 Total Profit+$801 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1100) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xbacd..35	MM	YES	$1.3K	-50%
This Market Entered at 51c → now 26c (-50%), $1.3K on YES Activity · 1 event · Jun 08 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 08BUYYES51+$2,572$2,572 Realized— Unrealized−$1,280 Total Profit−$1,280 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1854) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 51c, NO wallets at 43c. At current price 26c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 26c YES — $510K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 26c with $510K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 26c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	26c	$510K
Our Model	26c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 26% YES with $510K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.