Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Israel closes its airspace by May 8. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). Israel's Airline Industry Left in Limbo Amid Fragile Cease-fire With Iran.
Currently at 8%
Traded on Polymarket — $57K Volume
Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($57K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 8c YES.