Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 16% YES on Polymarket with $64K in total trading volume.

84c

YES

16c

Prediction markets put the probability at 18%: Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (18% YES).

Down from 18% to 16% since 2026-05-28 (-2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 16c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $64K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.