Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 13% YES on Polymarket with $60K in total trading volume.

87c

YES

13c

Prediction markets put the probability at 13%: Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (13% YES).

Currently at 13%

Traded on Polymarket — $60K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($60K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 13c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 13% YES with $60K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.