Geopolitics
Resolves: Aug 2026 4 days left Volume: $64K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

YES
76c
NO
24c

Prediction markets put the probability at 76%: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2. Currently, markets see this as likely (76% YES).

Currently at 76%

Traded on Polymarket — $64K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($64K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 76c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

Full AI Analysis Available on PRO Markets

OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

Deep Analysis — Geopolitics Markets

These Geopolitics markets have full AI verdicts, smart money tracking, and 5-model analysis:

See all 107 analyzed markets →

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 76% YES with $64K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.