Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 36% YES on Polymarket with $273K in total trading volume.

64c

YES

36c

Prediction markets put the probability at 36%: Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31. Currently, markets are divided (36% YES, 64% NO). This date is already in the past, so resolution depends on whether the ceasefire was still intact at 11:59 PM IRST on July 20.

Currently at 36%

Traded on Polymarket — $273K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 36c YES with $273K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 36% YES with $273K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.