Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 53% YES on Polymarket with $176K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

53c

47c

Prediction markets give a 53% probability to: kevin warsh confirmed as fed chair by may 15?.

Currently at 53%

Traded on Polymarket — $176K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 53c YES with $176K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 53c

Smart money entered YES at 78c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 78c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x4818..0b	MM	YES	$1.1K	-32%
This Market Entered at 78c → now 53c (-32%), $1.1K on YES Track Record 3mo on platform · 1482 trades · crypto specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1482) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

See all 162 tracked wallets → · Learn about copy trading →

No Positions Are Currently in Profit

YES wallets entered between 78c. At current price 53c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 53c YES — $176K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 53c with $176K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 53c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	53c	$176K
Our Model	53c	—

Back to Market Radar

Related Markets

Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 53% YES with $176K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.