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Resolves: Jan 2027 8 months left Volume: $112K

Major CEX insolvent in 2026?

NO
89c
YES
11c

Prediction markets give a 11% probability to: major cex insolvent in 2026?.

Currently at 11%

Traded on Polymarket — $112K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 11c YES with $112K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT
BUY NO 89c

Smart money entered NO at 88c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

+7% TARGET YIELD
53c
95c
100c
89c
Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 88c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x4337..82MMNO$6.9K+1%
See all 162 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 88c. At current price 11c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 11c YES — $112K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 11c with $112K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 11c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket11c$112K
Our Model11c—
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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 11% YES with $112K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Major CEX insolvent in 2026??
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.