US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US strike on Cuba by December 31?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 34% YES on Polymarket with $905K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US strike on Cuba by December 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

66c

YES

34c

Prediction markets give a 34% probability to: us strike on cuba by december 31?.

Currently at 34%

Traded on Polymarket — $905K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 34c YES with $905K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

Smart money signal: 3 tracked wallets positioned YES with 3.2x conviction. Backed by $905K in trading volume.

PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY YES 34c

Smart money entered YES at 36c–42c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

3 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 36c–42c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x4337..82	Retail	NO	$4.9K	+8%
This Market Entered at 62c → now 66c (+8%), $4.9K on NO Track Record 25d on platform AI Insight Retail wallet — smaller position, limited trading history.
0x0845..6f	MM	YES	$4.8K	-6%
This Market Entered at 36c → now 34c (-6%), $4.8K on YES Track Record 21d on platform · 1066 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1066) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xeec5..fe ★	Retail	YES	$1.6K	-21%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 42c → now 34c (-21%), $1.6K on YES Track Record 1mo on platform · 1658 trades · 100% win rate · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1658 trades).

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 36c–42c, NO wallets at 62c. At current price 34c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 34c YES — $905K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $905K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 34c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	34c	$905K
Our Model	34c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US strike on Cuba by December 31??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $905K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US strike on Cuba by December 31??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US strike on Cuba by December 31??

OddsShift tracks 3 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.