We tracked 9 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 9 market makers are providing $69K in liquidity, primarily on YES. YES wallets entered between 16c–34c.
Wallet
Category
Side
Amount
P&L
0xbacd..35
MM
NO
$27.2K
-1%
This Market
Entered at 84c → now 84c (-1%), $27.2K on NO
Track Record
13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x44c1..c1
MM
YES
$19.1K
-10%
This Market
Entered at 18c → now 16c (-10%), $19.1K on YES
Track Record
3mo on platform · 1694 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1694) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b
MM
YES
$11.6K
+3%
This Market
Entered at 16c → now 16c (+3%), $11.6K on YES
Track Record
24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xc1b3..1c
MM
YES
$4.4K
-51%
This Market
Entered at 34c → now 16c (-51%), $4.4K on YES
Track Record
3mo on platform · 1170 trades · politics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1170) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xdd22..f1
MM
NO
$2.5K
+10%
This Market
Entered at 76c → now 84c (+10%), $2.5K on NO
Track Record
4mo on platform · 1240 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1240) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x1c1e..e7
MM
YES
$1.2K
-40%
This Market
Entered at 28c → now 16c (-40%), $1.2K on YES
Track Record
3mo on platform · 1462 trades · politics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1462) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x6bab..92
MM
YES
$1.2K
-28%
This Market
Entered at 23c → now 16c (-28%), $1.2K on YES
Track Record
6mo on platform · 1754 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1754) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x24c8..e1
MM
NO
$1.0K
+67%
This Market
Entered at 50c → now 84c (+67%), $1.0K on NO
Track Record
1mo on platform · 1570 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1570) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x011f..22
MM
YES
$1.0K
-10%
This Market
Entered at 18c → now 16c (-10%), $1.0K on YES
Track Record
2mo on platform · 1092 trades · politics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1092) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
YES wallets entered between 16c–34c, NO wallets at 50c–84c. At current price 16c, 67% of NO holders are profitable vs 17% of YES holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
17%in profit
NO positions
67%in profit
Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 7 Cents
Polymarket prices YES at 16c while Kalshi has it at 9c — a 7-cent gap. Polymarket traders are more bullish on YES. Our model estimates fair value at 16c.
What are the current odds for Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 16% YES with $9.5M in total volume.
Where can I bet on Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026??
OddsShift tracks 9 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.