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Resolves: Mar 2027 11 months left Volume: $75K

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

NO
90c
YES
10c

Prediction markets put the probability at 10%: Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (10% YES). Archaeologists at Pompeii use AI to reconstruct the face of one of the victims of volcano's eruption.

Down from 12% to 10% since 2026-04-16 (-2pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $75K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($75K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
Last updated: April 27, 2026, 22:06 UTC
OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 162 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.
PRO Analysis

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OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $75K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.