MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 10% YES on Polymarket with $84K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

90c

YES

10c

Prediction markets give a 10% probability to: microstrategy sells any bitcoin by may 31, 2026?.

Currently at 10%

Traded on Polymarket — $84K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($84K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 10c YES.

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Last updated: May 06, 2026, 10:10 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 2 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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BUY NO 90c

Smart money entered NO at 87c–89c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

2 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 87c–89c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x69aa..47	MM	NO	$20.6K	+1%
This Market Entered at 89c → now 90c (+1%), $20.6K on NO Activity · 1 event · May 06 DatePositionAmountTotal May 06BUYNO89+$20,382$20,381 Realized— Unrealized+$235 Total Profit+$235 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1258) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x0c0e..4e	MM	NO	$1.2K	+3%
This Market Entered at 87c → now 90c (+3%), $1.2K on NO Activity · 1 event · May 06 DatePositionAmountTotal May 06BUYNO87+$1,168$1,168 Realized— Unrealized+$35 Total Profit+$35 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1564) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 87c–89c. At current price 10c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 20 Cents

Significant 20-cent gap: Polymarket at 10c vs Kalshi at 30c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 10c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	10c	$84K
Kalshi	30c	—
Our Model	10c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 10% YES with $84K in total volume.

Where can I bet on MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.