The market resolved YES at $1.00 on Apr 21, 2026. YES holders redeemed in full, NO holders went to zero.
Polymarket pricing climbed from 92c at the start of OddsShift tracking (Mar 27) to 94c on the last snapshot before resolution. Final lifetime volume reached $1.5M across 2 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.
We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 held YES (redeemed at $1.00) — the other 1 held NO and lost their stake when the market resolved.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xeb6f..f0 | MM | NO | $4.0K | -47% | ||
| 0xeec5..fe ★ | Retail | YES | $3.3K | +6% |