Prediction markets put the probability at 8%: Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (8% YES). Exclusive | The Little-Known Hedge Fund That Stands to Make Over $10 Billion on SpaceX - WSJ.
Up from 5% to 8% since 2026-04-08 (+3pp)
Traded on Polymarket — $730K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 8c YES with $730K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.