5 of 7 models estimate NO fair value below market (64–95c vs 95c). DeepSeek Quant leads with 70% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 83c — market prices it at 95c. 12-point gap supports YES.
Why One Model Disagrees: PIN Model dissents at 98c — PIN=100% informed trading. 1 smart vs 0 retail wallets. Informed capital concentrated 100% on YES. Fair value: 98% YES.
1 Active Wallets on This Market
We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. YES wallets entered between 23c.
Wallet
Category
Side
Amount
P&L
0xcf6c..66
MM
YES
$5.6K
-77%
This Market
Entered at 23c → now 5c (-77%), $5.6K on YES
Track Record
1mo on platform · 248 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (248) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
YES wallets entered between 23c. At current price 5c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
0%in profit
Polymarket: 5c YES — $703K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $703K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 17c. Significant 12-point gap — model sees YES as substantially mispriced.
What are the current odds for Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $703K in total volume.
Where can I bet on Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch??
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: YES. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
What do AI models predict for Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch??
OddsShift runs 3 math models + 5 AI models. Current fair value estimate: 17c YES. 5 models agree on direction.