Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 6% YES on Polymarket with $335K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

94c

YES

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: russia x ukraine ceasefire by may 31, 2026?.

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $335K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 6c YES with $335K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Last updated: April 14, 2026, 13:19 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 94c.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 94c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x2e0b..70 ★	MM	NO	$6.8K	—
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 94c, $6.8K on NO Track Record 1y on platform · 623 trades · crypto specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (623) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 94c. At current price 6c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $335K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $335K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	6c	$335K
Our Model	6c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $335K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026??

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.