Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 34% YES on Polymarket with $52K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

66c

YES

34c

Prediction markets put the probability at 34%: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31. Currently, markets are divided (34% YES, 66% NO).

Currently at 34%

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($52K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 34c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 67c

Smart money entered NO at 61c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 61c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0xeec5..fe	Retail	NO	$1.4K	+10%
This Market Entered at 61c → now 66c (+10%), $1.4K on NO Activity · 3 events · Jun 01 → Jun 29 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 01BUYNO60+$964$964 Jun 14SELLNO64−$140$888 Jun 29BUYNO62+$445$1,305 Realized+$9 Unrealized+$124 Total Profit+$133 Wallet Type Active retail with decent track record (100% over 1508 trades).

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 61c. At current price 34c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 34c YES — $52K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $52K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 34c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	34c	$52K
Our Model	34c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $52K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.