Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
NO
88c
YES
12c
Prediction markets put the probability at 12%: Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (12% YES).
Currently at 12%
Traded on Polymarket — $108K Volume
Polymarket prices this at 12c YES with $108K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.