We tracked 7 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 6 market makers are providing $63K in liquidity, primarily on NO. NO wallets entered between 41c–58c.
Wallet
Category
Side
Amount
P&L
0xbacd..35
MM
NO
$34.0K
+29%
This Market
Entered at 51c → now 66c (+29%), $34.0K on NO
Track Record
13d on platform · 1954 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1954) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x24c8..e1
MM
NO
$13.3K
+36%
This Market
Entered at 48c → now 66c (+36%), $13.3K on NO
Track Record
1mo on platform · 1570 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1570) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b
MM
NO
$8.8K
+57%
This Market
Entered at 42c → now 66c (+57%), $8.8K on NO
Track Record
24d on platform · 1246 trades · geopolitics specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1246) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xc408..75
MM
YES
$3.7K
-9%
This Market
Entered at 38c → now 34c (-9%), $3.7K on YES
Track Record
1y on platform · 1478 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1478) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0xe25b..1b
Retail
NO
$3.5K
+13%
This Market
Entered at 58c → now 66c (+13%), $3.5K on NO
Track Record
2d on platform
AI Insight
Retail wallet — smaller position, limited trading history.
0x6bab..92
MM
NO
$1.7K
+60%
This Market
Entered at 41c → now 66c (+60%), $1.7K on NO
Track Record
6mo on platform · 1754 trades · other specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1754) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x33c2..18
MM
NO
$1.4K
+56%
This Market
Entered at 42c → now 66c (+56%), $1.4K on NO
Track Record
10mo on platform · 1406 trades · crypto specialist
AI Insight
Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1406) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
YES wallets entered between 38c, NO wallets at 41c–58c. At current price 34c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 34c YES — $4.8M Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 34c with $4.8M in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 34c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th??
As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 34% YES with $4.8M in total volume.
Where can I bet on Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th??
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th??
OddsShift tracks 7 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.