Trump Truth Social Post Predictions

AI predicts Trump's weekly posting activity on Truth Social. Live count, historical patterns, and Polymarket bracket analysis.

Politics · Tweet Markets Elon Musk # tweets March 17 – March 24, 2026?

TWEET COUNT
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n Actual tweet count
n Model forecast
▴% Dynamic forecast pace — updates every 10 min based on current tweet velocity
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⫸ MARKET BRACKETS price ranges

Current market: Donald Trump # Truth Social posts September 8 - September 15, 2026? (closes 2026-09-15). Donald Trump has posted 16 posts on Truth Social so far; our forecast for the full window is 281 (as of 2026-09-05T10:18 UTC). Polymarket YES prices per bracket:

0-19 posts on Truth SocialYES 1¢
20-39 posts on Truth SocialYES 1¢
60-79 posts on Truth SocialYES 4¢
80-99 posts on Truth SocialYES 4¢
100-119 posts on Truth SocialYES 4¢
120-139 posts on Truth SocialYES 5¢
140-159 posts on Truth SocialYES 10¢
160-179 posts on Truth SocialYES 13¢
180-199 posts on Truth SocialYES 15¢
200+ posts on Truth SocialYES 52¢ ← our forecast

⫸ Tweet Activity Heatmap actual and expected per hour

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High Prediction:
Current time 3/5 = actual / forecast sleep hours Outside

Donald Trump Posting Patterns

Based on 5,389 posts on Truth Social tracked over 100 weeks on Truth Social. Donald Trump averages 8 posts per day (56 per week).

8
Avg posts/day
56
Avg posts/week
105
Record day
1
Quietest day

Our AI predicts how many posts on Truth Social Donald Trump will post this week. See the exact AI forecast, confidence interval, and bracket picks for the current Polymarket market.

⫸ AI Prediction Model Performance prediction accuracy

Graded record: 31 of 40 resolved markets (78%) — a hit is a forecast within 20% of the final count or inside the winning bracket, taken 24 h before the close, never after. 4 markets not graded (no forecast on file before the checkpoint). Every market, hit or miss, is listed below once the page loads. Money: $1,000 on our bracket 24 h before the close, held to resolution — 9 of 20 won at an average 37¢, P&L +$1,702, ROI +8.5%. (20 graded markets not staked: no price at the checkpoint or outside 2–98¢. Buying the favourite bracket instead: 6 won, −$9,955.)

Frequently Asked Questions

How many posts on Truth Social does Donald Trump post per day?

Donald Trump posts an average of 8 posts on Truth Social per day based on 5,389 posts tracked over 100 weeks on Truth Social. Activity varies significantly — from a handful on quiet days to over 100 during major news events.

How many posts on Truth Social has Donald Trump made today?

See the live counter at the top of this page. OddsShift tracks Donald Trump's posting activity in real-time and compares it against our AI model's hourly predictions.

How accurate are OddsShift's Donald Trump predictions?

On 40 resolved Polymarket markets, our forecast taken 24 hours before the close was a hit (within 20% of the final count or inside the winning bracket) 31 times (78%). 4 markets are not graded. Every market, hit or miss, is listed on this page.

Can you predict how many posts on Truth Social Donald Trump will post?

Yes. OddsShift's AI model analyzes 5,389+ historical posts from Donald Trump, identifying time-of-day patterns, day-of-week trends, and news-cycle correlations. Predictions are compared against live Polymarket bracket odds to identify over/underpriced contracts.

What are Polymarket Donald Trump posts on Truth Social brackets?

Polymarket offers weekly contracts on Donald Trump's post count in bracket ranges. Traders buy YES or NO on each bracket. These markets see significant weekly volume. OddsShift's AI identifies which brackets are overpriced or underpriced based on historical patterns and current posting pace.

When is Donald Trump most active on Truth Social?

The hourly heatmap on this page shows the exact pattern based on 5,389+ tracked posts. Activity varies by day and time — the heatmap reveals peak hours and quiet periods across the week.