Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 5% YES on Polymarket with $219K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

95c

YES

Prediction markets put the probability at 5%: Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (5% YES).

Down from 18% to 5% since 2026-04-28 (-13pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $219K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 5c YES with $219K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT

HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 83c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

— TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 83c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x44c1..c1	MM	NO	$4.2K	+15%
This Market Entered at 83c → now 95c (+15%), $4.2K on NO Activity · 1 event · Apr 27 DatePositionAmountTotal Apr 27BUYNO83+$3,642$3,642 Realized— Unrealized+$538 Total Profit+$538 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1778) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 83c. At current price 5c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 5c YES — $219K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 5c with $219K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 5c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	5c	$219K
Our Model	5c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 5% YES with $219K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.