US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 90% YES on Polymarket with $71K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

90c

10c

Prediction markets give a 90% probability to: us and iran sign an agreement by july 31, 2026?.

Currently at 90%

Traded on Polymarket — $71K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($71K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 90c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 9c

Smart money positioned NO.

+300% TARGET YIELD

86c

100c

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x5cd5..33 ★	MM	YES	$1.6K	+2%
★ Tier-1 Wallet 80%+ accuracy across 291 resolved markets This Market Entered at 88c → now 90c (+2%), $1.6K on YES Activity · 2 events · Jun 13 → Jun 14 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 13BUYYES92+$410$410 Jun 14BUYYES87+$1,164$1,553 Realized— Unrealized+$36 Total Profit+$36 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1844) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 88c. At current price 90c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 90c YES — $71K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 90c with $71K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 90c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	90c	$71K
Our Model	90c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 90% YES with $71K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US and Iran sign an agreement by July 31, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.