Geopolitics
Resolves: Sep 2026 18 days left Volume: $53K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

NO
94c
YES
6c

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7, 2026?.

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $53K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($53K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 6c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

What does smart money think? Get AI verdicts, wallet positioning, signal analysis, and entry targets.

CONFLICTING OUR VERDICT
HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 90c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

TARGET YIELD

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 90c.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0x5cd5..33 RetailNO$1.5K+4%
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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 90c. At current price 6c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
100% in profit

Polymarket: 6c YES — $53K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 6c with $53K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 6c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket6c$53K
Our Model6c

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $53K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.