US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 80% YES on Polymarket with $70K in total trading volume.

YES

80c

20c

Prediction markets put the probability at 80%: US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30. Currently, markets see this as likely (80% YES).

Currently at 80%

Traded on Polymarket — $70K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($70K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 80c YES.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 80% YES with $70K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.