US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?'?

As of June 2026, prediction markets price this at 28% YES on Polymarket with $52K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

72c

YES

28c

Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).

Currently at 28%

Traded on Polymarket — $52K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($52K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 28c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 72c

Smart money entered NO at 73c.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 73c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0845..6f	MM	NO	$2.5K	-1%
This Market Entered at 73c → now 72c (-1%), $2.5K on NO Activity · 1 event · Jun 28 DatePositionAmountTotal Jun 28BUYNO73+$2,490$2,490 Realized— Unrealized−$17 Total Profit−$17 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1182) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 73c. At current price 28c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 28c YES — $52K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 28c with $52K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 28c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	28c	$52K
Our Model	28c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

As of June 2026, Polymarket prices this at 28% YES with $52K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.