As of October 15, 2026, Polymarket prices “US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?” at 8% YES with $151K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 8% probability to: us-iran hormuz agreement by october 31?.
OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
NO wallets entered at 91c. At current price 8c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.
Profit/Loss by Side
YES positions
0%in profit
NO positions
100%in profit
Polymarket: 8c YES — $151K Volume
Polymarket prices YES at 8c with $151K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 8c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.
What are the current odds for US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 8% YES with $151K in total volume.
Where can I bet on US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.
What does smart money say about US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31?
OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.
ODDSSHIFT PRO
$29/mo
Cancel anytime. No lock-in.
✔ Every AI verdict — BUY YES, BUY NO or HOLD with entry price and target, on every Radar market
✔ Model fair value — 3 math models + up to 5 AI models behind each verdict
✔ Wallet-level positions — which tracked wallets hold the market, size, P&L
✔ Trade alerts — Telegram or email within a minute of a tracked wallet's trade
✔ Wallet follow + daily digest — the wallets you follow, email + Telegram
✔ Cancel anytime — access runs to the end of the billing period