US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?'?

As of August 2026, prediction markets price this at 94% YES on Polymarket with $75K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

94c

Prediction markets give a 94% probability to: us ceasefire against iran continues through august 25?.

Currently at 94%

Traded on Polymarket — $75K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($75K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 94c YES.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every alpha market. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 6c

Smart money positioned NO.

+300% TARGET YIELD

86c

100c

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$1.9K	+2%
This Market Entered at 93c → now 94c (+2%), $1.9K on YES Activity · 1 event · Aug 18 DatePositionAmountTotal Aug 18BUYYES93+$1,860$1,860 Realized— Unrealized+$30 Total Profit+$30 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1108) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 93c. At current price 94c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket: 94c YES — $75K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 94c with $75K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 94c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	94c	$75K
Our Model	94c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?

As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 94% YES with $75K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 25?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.