AI consensus leaned YES with MODERATE conviction — ? of ? models agreed. Direction was issued as HOLD because edge was insufficient at verdict time. Outcome confirmed: YES won at $1.00.
We tracked 3 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is classified as smart money. All 1 positioned YES — unanimous.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x12d6..a8 | Smart | YES | $1.0K | +9% | |
| 0xeec5..fe | Retail | YES | $1.0K | +0% | |
| 0x4337..82 | MM | YES | $1.0K | +2% |
Tracked alpha wallets held YES at the last snapshot. YES redeemed at $1.00 when the market closed. Combined realized P&L: +$337 on $3.1K capital deployed (avg +10.8%).
| Platform | Last YES Price | Volume | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 94c | $734.2K | 100c |