US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?'?

As of April 2026, prediction markets price this at 65% YES on Polymarket with $355K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

YES

65c

35c

Prediction markets give a 65% probability to: us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 22, 2026?.

Currently at 65%

Traded on Polymarket — $355K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 65c YES with $355K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

Last updated: April 17, 2026, 13:40 UTC

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 2 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

PRO Analysis

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MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 35c

Smart money entered NO at 25c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

2 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 2 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 25c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x24c8..e1	MM	NO	$4.5K	+40%
This Market Entered at 25c → now 35c (+40%), $4.5K on NO Track Record 29d on platform · 1632 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1632) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.
0x7c3d..6b	MM	YES	$2.4K	-18%
This Market Entered at 79c → now 65c (-18%), $2.4K on YES Track Record 24d on platform · 1290 trades · geopolitics specialist AI Insight Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1290) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 79c, NO wallets at 25c. At current price 65c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 65c YES — $355K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 65c with $355K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 65c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	65c	$355K
Our Model	65c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026??

As of April 2026, Polymarket prices this at 65% YES with $355K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026??

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026??

OddsShift tracks 2 smart money wallets on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.