US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Q: What are the current odds for 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?'?

As of May 2026, prediction markets price this at 36% YES on Polymarket with $178K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

64c

YES

36c

Prediction markets give a 36% probability to: us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7, 2026?.

Currently at 36%

Traded on Polymarket — $178K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 36c YES with $178K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 65c

Smart money entered NO at 34c. 100% of NO wallets in profit.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. NO wallets entered between 34c.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x12d6..a8	MM	NO	$1.9K	+89%
This Market Entered at 34c → now 64c (+89%), $1.9K on NO Activity · 2 events · May 23 → May 24 DatePositionAmountTotal May 23BUYNO33+$164$164 May 24BUYNO34+$817$986 Realized— Unrealized+$878 Total Profit+$878 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1302) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All NO Positions Are in Profit

NO wallets entered at 34c. At current price 36c, all YES buyers are underwater while all NO holders are profitable. Profitable positions rarely sell early — NO side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

0% in profit

NO positions

100% in profit

Polymarket: 36c YES — $178K Volume

Polymarket prices YES at 36c with $178K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 36c. Model and market are aligned — no pricing discrepancy detected.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	36c	$178K
Our Model	36c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 36% YES with $178K in total volume.

Where can I bet on US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.