Economics
Resolves: Dec 2026 7 months left Volume: $107K

Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

YES
95c
NO
5c

Prediction markets put the probability at 95%: Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026. Currently, markets see this as likely (95% YES).

Up from 90% to 95% since 2026-04-06 (+5pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $107K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 95c YES with $107K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

As of May 2026, Polymarket prices this at 95% YES with $107K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.