How did 'Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?' resolve?

The market resolved NO on Apr 05, 2026. NO redeemed at $1.00 per share.

Was the AI verdict correct?

No AI verdict was issued at the time of resolution.

Other

Resolved: Apr 05, 2026 Closed at $1.00 NO Final volume: $2.1M

Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Resolved · APR 05

100c

YES

Market resolved NO at $1.00. 11 tracked alpha wallets — final positions preserved below.

NO won @ $1.00

Resolved Apr 05, 2026Final volume $2.1MTracked since Mar 27

OddsShift did not have an AI verdict for this market at the time of resolution.

View on Polymarket →

What Happened

The market resolved NO at $1.00 on Apr 05, 2026. NO holders redeemed in full, YES holders went to zero.

Polymarket priced this at 27c YES on the only snapshot we captured. Final lifetime volume reached $2.1M across 9 tracked wallets above the $1K threshold.

0 of 9 Tracked Wallets Picked Correctly

We tracked 9 wallets with positions above $1K on this market. All 9 held the losing side and went to zero when the market resolved.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x0306..F6	Smart	YES	$3.7K	+46%
This Market Entered at 19c → now 50c (+46%), $3.7K on YES
0x2a08..13	Smart	YES	$1.6K	+57%
This Market Entered at 17c → now 50c (+57%), $1.6K on YES
0x2707..Fa	MM	YES	$12.2K	+49%
This Market Entered at 18c → now 50c (+49%), $12.2K on YES
0x5375..eA	Retail	YES	$7.5K	+24%
This Market Entered at 22c → now 50c (+24%), $7.5K on YES
0x58d6..67	Retail	YES	$7.2K	+44%
This Market Entered at 19c → now 50c (+44%), $7.2K on YES
0x1842..ea	Retail	YES	$2.3K	+54%
This Market Entered at 18c → now 50c (+54%), $2.3K on YES
0x0ceA..7f	Retail	YES	$1.6K	+52%
This Market Entered at 18c → now 50c (+52%), $1.6K on YES
0x0cb9..83	Retail	YES	$1.2K	+56%
This Market Entered at 17c → now 50c (+56%), $1.2K on YES
0x441D..4D	Retail	YES	$1.1K	+38%
This Market Entered at 20c → now 50c (+38%), $1.1K on YES

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