Crypto
Resolves: Nov 2026 29 days left Volume: $62K

Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?

NO
94c
YES
6c

As of October 2, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?” at 6% YES with $62K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.

Prediction markets give a 6% probability to: will bitcoin reach $105,000 in october?.

Currently at 6%

Traded on Polymarket — $62K Volume

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OddsShift analysis: up to 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets on every market with smart-money data. Verdict track record published on the accuracy page.
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HOLD · NO ENTRY AI VERDICT
HOLD

Smart money entered NO at 97c.

— TARGET YIELD

1 of 1 Wallets Is a Crypto Specialist

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market. 1 is a crypto specialist with 100% win rate. All 1 positioned NO — unanimous.

WalletCategorySideAmountP&L
0xdcc9..34SmartNO$2.7K-3%
See all 88 tracked wallets →  ·  Learn about copy trading →

No Positions Are Currently in Profit

NO wallets entered at 97c. At current price 6c, none of the NO holders are profitable vs none of the YES holders are profitable. Both sides have similar profitability — no structural edge.

YES positions
0% in profit
NO positions
0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 24 Cents

Significant 24-cent gap: Polymarket at 6c vs Kalshi at 30c. Kalshi traders see a substantially different probability. Our model estimates fair value at 6c.

PlatformYES PriceVolume
Polymarket6c$62K
Kalshi30c—
Our Model6c—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?

As of October 2026, Polymarket prices this at 6% YES with $62K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.