Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

Q: What are the current odds for 'Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?'?

As of July 2026, prediction markets price this at 24% YES on Polymarket with $50K in total trading volume.

Q: What does smart money say about 'Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?'?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallets on this market. The dominant position among tracked wallets is NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability and win rate across Polymarket.

76c

YES

24c

Prediction markets give a 24% probability to: will shenna bellows be the maine senate democratic nominee on july 27?.

Currently at 24%

Traded on Polymarket — $50K Volume

Lower-volume market on Polymarket ($50K). Wider spreads expected — enter with limit orders and be aware of slippage risk. Currently 24c YES.

Trade this market on Polymarket →

OddsShift analysis: 5 AI models + 1 tracked wallets. Track record: 12/12 correct directional calls across 12 resolved markets.

MODERATE OUR VERDICT

BUY NO 76c

Smart money positioned NO.

Stop Loss Current Target Fair Value

1 Active Wallets on This Market

We tracked 1 wallet with positions above $1K on this market.

Wallet	Category	Side	Amount	P&L
0x44c1..c1	MM	YES	$1.8K	+8%
This Market Entered at 24c → now 24c (+8%), $1.8K on YES Activity · 2 events · Jul 09 → Jul 10 DatePositionAmountTotal Jul 09BUYYES24+$2,177$2,176 Jul 10SELLYES33−$535$2,455 Realized+$145 Unrealized+$62 Total Profit+$207 Wallet Type Market maker — provides liquidity on both sides. High trade count (1802) is standard for automated market making, not directional conviction.

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All YES Positions Are in Profit

YES wallets entered between 24c. At current price 24c, all YES holders are profitable while all NO buyers are underwater. Profitable positions rarely sell early — YES side has structural price support.

Profit/Loss by Side

YES positions

100% in profit

NO positions

0% in profit

Polymarket and Kalshi Disagree by 8 Cents

Polymarket prices YES at 24c while Kalshi has it at 32c — a 8-cent gap. Kalshi traders are more bullish on YES. Our model estimates fair value at 24c.

Platform	YES Price	Volume
Polymarket	24c	$50K
Kalshi	32c	—
Our Model	24c	—

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

As of July 2026, Polymarket prices this at 24% YES with $50K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What does smart money say about Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?

OddsShift tracks 1 smart money wallet on this market. Dominant position: NO. Smart money wallets are selected based on historical profitability across Polymarket.