As of September 12, 2026, Polymarket prices “Will Maria Bartiromo be the next White House Press Secretary?” at 20% YES with $52K traded. 1 tracked wallet holds a position here; the dominant side is NO.
Prediction markets give a 20% probability to: will maria bartiromo be the next white house press secretary?.
See which tracked wallets hold this market (entries, size, P&L), the models’ fair value and entry targets — and get an alert within a minute when they trade.
Unlock PRO — $29/mo7/7 models agree on NO, fair value 13c vs market 20c. BUY NO at 20c — models see 7c of upside.
| Model | Says | Fair Value estimated fair price | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| MATH PIN Model | NO | 98c | — |
| MATH Compound Signal | NO | 68c | — |
| AI Claude Analysis | NO | 90c | 66% |
| AI DeepSeek Quant | NO | 85c | 72% |
| AI Grok Contrarian | NO | 88c | 68% |
| AI Gemini Flash | NO | 85c | 80% |
| AI Kimi Macro | NO | 95c | 78% |
7 of 7 models estimate NO fair value above market (68–98c vs 80c). Gemini Flash leads with 80% confidence.
Models estimate fair value of NO at 87c — market prices it at 80c. 7-point gap supports NO.
The single tracked wallet is positioned exclusively on NO at 83c, a high-probability bet that Maria Bartiromo will not be the next White House Press Secretary. That entry aligns with the dominant NO side and suggests informed money sees the YES scenario as a long shot, though the position's slight unrealized loss indicates the market has since repriced even further against YES.
| Wallet | Category | Side | Amount | P&L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x5188..04 | MM | NO | $3.4K | -4% |
With YES at 20c, no tracked position is in profit: YES holders are underwater by 80c per share while NO entries at 83c are also marginally unprofitable, implying the market has drifted below the NO entry level. The absence of profitable participants on either side signals weak conviction and thin liquidity, with the 83c NO entry acting as a soft resistance ceiling rather than firm support.
Polymarket prices YES at 20c with $52K in total volume. Our model estimates fair value at 13c. 7-point gap suggests market may undervalue NO.
| Platform | YES Price | Volume |
|---|---|---|
| Polymarket | 20c | $52K |
| Our Model | 13c | — |