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Resolves: Sep 2026 15 days left Volume: $952K

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?

NO
72c
YES
28c

Prediction markets put the probability at 28%: Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open. Currently, markets see this as unlikely (28% YES).

Up from 22% to 28% since 2026-07-14 (+6pp)

Traded on Polymarket — $952K Volume

Polymarket prices this at 28c YES with $952K in volume. Moderate liquidity — use limit orders for positions above $1K to avoid moving the price.

Trade this market on Polymarket →
On this market: 6/6 models independently agree NO — rare convergence. Full verdict track record on the accuracy page.
PRO Analysis

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OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models and tracks 166 smart money wallets. Get BUY/SELL verdicts, entry targets, wallet positions, and P&L data.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What are the current odds for Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
As of August 2026, Polymarket prices this at 28% YES with $952K in total volume.

Where can I bet on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
This market is available on Polymarket (crypto-native, global access via USDC). OddsShift tracks prices and smart money positioning in real time.

What do AI models predict for Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
OddsShift runs mathematical + AI models on every alpha market. Current fair value estimate: 29c YES. 6 models agree on direction.